Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Paredes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nelas haven't matched Paredes's recent run of results.
- Model gives Paredes a 57% chance of winning this.
- Paredes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Paredes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Paredes Clean Sheet 20%
Nelas Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paredes | Nelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 9 |
| Wins | 17 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2005 Taça de Portugal
Paredes vs Nelas
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paredes 85 / 100
Nelas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paredes Nelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Paredes found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
Solid form: Paredes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Nelas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Paredes VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Paredes
(Home) 20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1 Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3 Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 4
Nelas
(Away) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
30 Oct
Paredes
4 : 0 Nelas
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Odivelas FC -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Marco -
AD Pontassolense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Vila Mea 2
Mondinense 0
Oliv. Bairro 0
SC Mirandela 1
AD Lousada 1
GD Joane 0
Pedras Rubras 1
Covilha 2
AD Portomosense 2
Silves FC 0
Riachense 1
FC Barreirense 2
Tirsense 4
Electrico FC 2
TBD -
Maritimo -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Atletico CP 2
Gondomar 0
Operario 1
Louletano 5
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
BSAD -
TBD -
SC Praiense 0
Aves 2
Paredes 2
CD Portosantense 1
Moreirense 0
Nelas 1
UD Ovarense 2
Tondela 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 2
Lagoa 4
Vizela 3
Messinense 1
SC Vianense 1
Santa Clara 2
Varzim 3
FC Canedo 1
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Camacha 4
Real SC 3
GD Milheiroense 1
Estoril 4
Aljustrelense 2
Sanjoanense 1
GD Ponterrolense 1
Olhanense 2
Uniao Lamas 1
Beira Mar 0
Esmoriz 1
Oliveirense 2
Nacional -
TBD -
Freamunde 0
Imortal 1
CF Canical 2
Beneditense 0
SC Lusitania 1
Fatima 2
GD Tourizense 1
Dragoes Sandinenses 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Leixoes 2
SC Angrense 1
TBD -
Benfica -
Boavista 3
Oeiras 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 0
Abrantes 3
FC Souropires 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
SB Castelo Branco 1
Portimonense 2
CU Micaelense 1
FC Madalena 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
FC Lixa 3
Trofense 1
TBD -
Penafiel -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
GD Uniao Torcatense 1
Ribeirao 2
Pinhalnovense 2
Chaves 1
Monsanto 1
Feirense 3
AD Fafe 3
Social Lamas 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
1/32-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Odivelas FC 4
FC Marco 6
AD Pontassolense -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Vila Mea 2
SC Mirandela 1
AD Lousada 0
Covilha 2
AD Portomosense 2
FC Barreirense 1
Tirsense 0
Maritimo 2
Academica 3
Gil Vicente 2
Atletico CP 0
Louletano 1
Braga 1
Leiria 0
BSAD 0
Aves 1
Paredes 4
Nelas 0
UD Ovarense 0
Lagoa 1
Vizela 3
Santa Clara 1
Varzim 0
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Camacha 0
Estoril 1
Aljustrelense 3
Olhanense 0
Uniao Lamas 0
Oliveirense 2
Nacional 2
Imortal 1
CF Canical 0
Fatima 1
GD Tourizense 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Leixoes 1
Benfica 2
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
Abrantes -
FC Souropires 1
Portimonense 0
CU Micaelense 0
Estrela da Amadora 2
FC Lixa 4
Penafiel 0
Rio Ave 0
Ribeirao 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Feirense 1
AD Fafe 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
FC Marco 0
AD Pontassolense 0
Naval 1
Vila Mea 2
Covilha 1
AD Portomosense 0
Maritimo 2
Academica 1
Louletano 0
Braga 1
Aves 2
Paredes 3
Lagoa 1
Vizela 1
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Estoril 0
Aljustrelense 0
Oliveirense 1
Nacional 2
Fatima 0
GD Tourizense 0
Benfica 2
Boavista 3
Abrantes 2
FC Souropires 1
Estrela da Amadora 3
FC Lixa 1
Ribeirao 0
Pinhalnovense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
1/8-finals
FC Porto 2
Naval 1
Vila Mea 0
Maritimo 3
Academica 2
Aves 1
Paredes 1
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Oliveirense 0
Nacional 0
Benfica 1
Boavista 1
Estrela da Amadora 0
FC Lixa 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Maritimo 1
Academica 0
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Benfica 0
Boavista 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Final
FC Porto 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
