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Parham vs Swetes

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swetes in this ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swetes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Parham
15%
Draws
59%
Swetes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swetes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Parham at 1.69 per game, Swetes at 1.52.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Parham Clean Sheet 10%
Swetes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parham Swetes
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.69 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Swetes
0:2
Jan 30, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Swetes
6:1
Feb 9, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Swetes
1:3
Dec 22, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Swetes vs Parham
1:1
Mar 3, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Swetes
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parham 30 / 100
Swetes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parham Swetes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swetes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Parham scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Parham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parham VS Swetes
0.63 Goals Scored 5
3.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Parham

(Home)
30 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 5
Parham
24 Mar
Old Road
7 : 2
Parham
09 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 0
Parham
01 Mar
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Parham
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
Page 1 of 8

Swetes

(Away)
05 May
SAP
1 : 5
Swetes
29 Apr
All Saints United
5 : 2
Swetes
15 Apr
Garden Stars
1 : 3
Swetes
06 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
3 : 0
Swetes
01 Apr
Empire FC
1 : 2
Swetes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)