Sport Picks
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod 
Match Events
9'
9'
Shilnikov G.
46'
46'
Sub
Kotin N. In: Pushkarev D.
Out: Kotin N.
52'
52'
Sub
Timofeev A. In: Maiga M.
Out: Timofeev A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Pari Nizhny Novgorod and Shinnik Yaroslavl finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pari Nizhny Novgorod come out ahead of Shinnik Yaroslavl on wins alone.
- Model gives Pari Nizhny Novgorod a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Pari Nizhny Novgorod here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 68%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 15 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:0
Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:1
Mar 14, 2021 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:3
Sep 19, 2020 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:0
Nov 3, 2019 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare
Top Goalscorer Shilnikov G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sokolov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 95 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Shinnik Yaroslavl
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pari Nizhny Novgorod scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Pari Nizhny Novgorod has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Shinnik Yaroslavl conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pari Nizhny Novgorod VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
(Home) 10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0 Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0 Yenisey
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
30 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
24 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 1 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Away) 10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Tekstilshtik
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
14 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
02 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
26 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 4 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
