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Stadium Background

Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg Peronnas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Charlety, Paris
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Ayessa J.
19' Event
Ehling T.
(Penalty)
39'
Sub
El Hajjami M. In: Abraou Y.
Out: El Hajjami M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Paris 13 Atletico and Bourg Peronnas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paris 13 Atletico
35%
Draws
19%
Bourg Peronnas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paris 13 Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bourg Peronnas come out ahead of Paris 13 Atletico on wins alone.
  • Paris 13 Atletico are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 68%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris 13 Atletico Bourg Peronnas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg Peronnas
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Paris 13 Atletico
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg Peronnas
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg Peronnas
0:1
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Paris 13 Atletico
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris 13 Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayessa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris 13 Atletico 59 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris 13 Atletico Bourg Peronnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris 13 Atletico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paris 13 Atletico scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Bourg Peronnas let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Paris 13 Atletico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paris 13 Atletico VS Bourg Peronnas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris 13 Atletico

(Home)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

Bourg Peronnas

(Away)
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)