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Paris FC vs Auxerre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paris FC host Auxerre in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Paris FC have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Auxerre's 1.6 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor Auxerre slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.88) point toward Auxerre. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Paris FC
15%
Draws
40%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Auxerre's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Paris FC have produced (1.36).
  • Model gives Paris FC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 20%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC Auxerre
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.36 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Paris FC vs Auxerre
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Paris FC
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Auxerre
1:1
May 4, 2024 Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Paris FC
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Ligue 2
Paris FC vs Auxerre
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC 49 / 100
Auxerre 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paris FC scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Auxerre let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Solid form: Paris FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC VS Auxerre
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Paris FC
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
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Auxerre

(Away)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
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