Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC

3 - 2

Le Havre

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Immobile C.

Assist: Coppola D.

33'

Seko A.

Own Goal

42'

Sub

Vinette E. K. In: Pembele T.

Out: Vinette E. K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paris FC in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paris FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Paris FC

11%

Draws

Le Havre

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Paris FC have won more games recently than Le Havre.
Win probability leans Paris FC's way, sitting at 80%.
Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Paris FC Clean Sheet 68%

Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paris FC	Le Havre
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	6
Draws	10	11
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	2	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Le Havre

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Paris FC

Possession: 60% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly

Paris FC vs Le Havre

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Feb 3, 2023 Ligue 2

Le Havre vs Paris FC

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Dec 30, 2022 Ligue 2

Paris FC vs Le Havre

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Immobile C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gory A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Le Havre Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kyeremeh G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC 86 / 100

Le Havre 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paris FC Le Havre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paris FC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Le Havre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Paris FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC VS Le Havre

2 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSG	34	24	4	6	74:29	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	53
9	Toulouse	34	12	9	13	47:46	45
10	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	45
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	44
12	Brest	34	10	9	15	43:55	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	32
17	Nantes	34	5	9	20	29:52	24
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	17