Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paris FC W vs Fleury 91 W

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Charlety, Paris
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mateo C.
Assist: Le Moguedec A.
18' Event
Ngock M.
Assist: Cance L.
31'
Le Moguedec A.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Paris FC W and Fleury 91 W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paris FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Paris FC W
11%
Draws
9%
Fleury 91 W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Fleury 91 W haven't matched Paris FC W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paris FC W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paris FC W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris FC W Fleury 91 W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Fleury 91 W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Paris FC W
0:2
Apr 23, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs Fleury 91 W
4:0
Nov 24, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Paris FC W
1:4
Mar 22, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Paris FC W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Fleury 91 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngock M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris FC W 76 / 100
Fleury 91 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris FC W Fleury 91 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Paris FC W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Fleury 91 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Paris FC W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paris FC W VS Fleury 91 W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris FC W

(Home)
29 May
Lyon W
5 : 0
Paris FC W
16 May
Paris FC W
1 : 0
PSG W
06 May
Paris FC W
6 : 2
Lens W
25 Apr
Dijon W
1 : 2
Paris FC W
22 Apr
Montpellier W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
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Fleury 91 W

(Away)
06 May
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
25 Apr
Fleury 91 W
0 : 2
PSG W
22 Apr
Fleury 91 W
3 : 1
Strasbourg W
28 Mar
Paris FC W
2 : 1
Fleury 91 W
21 Mar
Fleury 91 W
0 : 2
Lyon W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon W22193076:1160
2Paris FC W22153446:1648
3PSG W22152548:2647
4Nantes W22125542:3441
5Fleury 91 W2296727:2133
6Dijon W2296721:2833
7Strasbourg W22751026:3826
8Le Havre W22561125:4521
9Marseille W22541326:4419
10Montpellier W22431528:4515
11Lens W22431520:5015
12St Etienne W22341511:3813
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)