Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parla vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Buceta P.
21' Event
Ferreres F.
40' Event
Gomez de Figueroa A.

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Parla
6%
Draws
90%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Galapagar lately — more wins on the board than Parla.
  • Galapagar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Galapagar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Parla Clean Sheet 11%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Galapagar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:5
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
3:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Buceta P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Galapagar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Galapagar has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Parla remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Galapagar
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Galapagar

(Away)
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
12 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)