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Parla vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Buceta P.
21' Event
Ferreres F.
40' Event
Gomez de Figueroa A.

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Parla
20%
Draws
73%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Galapagar lately — more wins on the board than Parla.
  • Galapagar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Galapagar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Galapagar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:5
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
3:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Buceta P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Galapagar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Galapagar has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Parla remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Galapagar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Galapagar

(Away)
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)