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Parla vs Union Adarve

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kostynyan A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Parla and Union Adarve finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Parla
35%
Draws
56%
Union Adarve
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Parla haven't matched Union Adarve's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Union Adarve a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Union Adarve have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Union Adarve
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Union Adarve
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Parla
2:0
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Parla vs Union Adarve
1:1
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Parla
4:1
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Union Adarve
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostynyan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.32
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Union Adarve 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Union Adarve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Union Adarve has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Parla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Union Adarve
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.86 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 7

Union Adarve

(Away)
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2
Getafe B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)