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Parla vs Union Adarve

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kostynyan A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Parla and Union Adarve finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Parla
6%
Draws
90%
Union Adarve
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Parla haven't matched Union Adarve's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Union Adarve a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Union Adarve have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parla Union Adarve
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Union Adarve
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Parla
2:0
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Parla vs Union Adarve
1:1
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Parla
4:1
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Union Adarve
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostynyan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parla 10 / 100
Union Adarve 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parla Union Adarve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Union Adarve has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Parla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parla VS Union Adarve
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parla

(Home)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

Union Adarve

(Away)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
CD Las Rozas
0 : 2
Union Adarve
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
11 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)