Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma vs Cagliari

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parma host Cagliari in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cagliari have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Parma have conceded 1 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Parma have won 0 to Cagliari's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Cagliari. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Parma
44%
Draws
20%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cagliari's 1 goals per match outpaces what Parma have produced (0.88).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Parma Clean Sheet 23%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Cagliari
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Cagliari
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Parma
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Parma
2:1
Sep 30, 2024 Serie A
Parma vs Cagliari
2:3
Jun 3, 2023 Serie B
Parma vs Cagliari
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 37 / 100
Cagliari 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cagliari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Parma has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Cagliari
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1
Parma
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Como
1 : 0
Parma
Page 1 of 6

Cagliari

(Away)
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
17 May
Cagliari
2 : 1
Torino
09 May
Cagliari
0 : 2
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lecce 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bologna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Frosinone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Genoa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Napoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Udinese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Monza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sassuolo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Venezia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 AS Roma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Inter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Juventus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AC Milan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Lazio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Cagliari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Torino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Parma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Como 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)