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Parma U19 vs Varese U19

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Primavera - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2014/2015 game between Parma U19 and Varese U19 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parma U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Parma U19
15%
Draws
37%
Varese U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parma U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parma U19 come out ahead of Varese U19 on wins alone.
  • Parma U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parma U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Varese U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma U19 Varese U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 2.28 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2015 Primavera - Group A
Varese U19 vs Parma U19
1:5
Oct 18, 2014 Primavera - Group A
Parma U19 vs Varese U19
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma U19 85 / 100
Varese U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma U19 Varese U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parma U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma U19 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Varese U19 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Parma U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parma U19 VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma U19

(Home)
20 May
Parma U19
2 : 3
Frosinone U19
10 May
Renate U19
1 : 0
Parma U19
03 May
Parma U19
2 : 1
Reggiana U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
19 Apr
Parma U19
4 : 1
FeralpiSalo U19
Page 1 of 7

Varese U19

(Away)
16 May
Varese U19
0 : 0
Torino U19
09 May
Genoa U19
4 : 0
Varese U19
02 May
Varese U19
4 : 0
Modena U19
18 Apr
Trapani U19
2 : 4
Varese U19
11 Apr
Varese U19
0 : 3
Fiorentina U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U19 26 19 3 4 66:27 60
2 Torino U19 26 17 6 3 57:24 57
3 Spezia U19 26 18 1 7 67:35 55
4 Juventus U19 26 17 2 7 56:30 53
5 Sampdoria U19 26 14 4 8 49:36 46
6 Parma U19 26 12 7 7 47:42 43
7 Entella U19 26 12 5 9 32:35 41
8 Pro Vercelli U19 26 10 8 8 41:34 38
9 Bologna U19 26 8 5 13 25:33 29
10 Carpi U19 26 7 3 16 22:44 24
11 Trapani U19 26 6 4 16 24:59 22
12 Genoa U19 26 5 4 17 24:42 19
13 Modena U19 26 4 4 18 18:50 16
14 Varese U19 26 3 4 19 21:58 13
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2014/2015 (Qualification)