Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parma vs Cremonese

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Zerbin A. In: Barbieri T.
Out: Zerbin A.
50'
Barbieri T.
54' Event
Maleh Y.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Parma and Cremonese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cremonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Parma
30%
Draws
34%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cremonese haven't matched Parma's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Parma a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Parma Clean Sheet 19%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Cremonese
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Cremonese
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie A
Cremonese vs Parma
0:0
May 5, 2024 Serie B
Parma vs Cremonese
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie B
Cremonese vs Parma
1:2
Feb 15, 2022 Serie B
Cremonese vs Parma
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Maleh Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vandeputte J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 36 / 100
Cremonese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parma scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cremonese let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Parma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Cremonese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1
Parma
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Como
1 : 0
Parma
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Cremonese

(Away)
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0
Pisa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)