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Stadium Background

Parma vs Pescara

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Keita M.
47' Event
Pellegrino M.
Assist: Valeri E.
57'
Bernabe A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Parma advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Parma
35%
Draws
28%
Pescara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Parma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parma come out ahead of Pescara on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Parma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Parma, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Parma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Parma Clean Sheet 68%
Pescara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma Pescara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia
Parma vs Pescara
2:0
Oct 28, 2020 Coppa Italia
Parma vs Pescara
3:1
Mar 10, 2018 Serie B
Pescara vs Parma
1:4
Oct 14, 2017 Serie B
Parma vs Pescara
0:1
Mar 30, 2013 Serie A
Parma vs Pescara
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pescara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma 41 / 100
Pescara 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma Pescara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pescara let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Parma scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Parma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma VS Pescara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.71
1 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma

(Home)
02 Aug
Parma
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1
Parma
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6

Pescara

(Away)
02 Aug
Pescara
4 : 2
Lanciano
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1
Spezia
01 May
Padova
1 : 0
Pescara
25 Apr
Pescara
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
19 Apr
Carrarese
2 : 2
Pescara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
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Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
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Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Torino -
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Modena -
Pisa -
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Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
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Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Como -
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Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
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Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2