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Parma W vs Fiorentina W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parma W host Fiorentina W in the Serie A Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Parma W have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Fiorentina W's 1.33 scored and 1.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Parma W have won 0 to Fiorentina W's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.69) point toward Fiorentina W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Parma W
15%
Draws
51%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Parma W haven't matched Fiorentina W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Parma W Clean Sheet 13%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Parma W
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Fiorentina W
1:1
Dec 10, 2022 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Fiorentina W
0:4
Sep 18, 2022 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Parma W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma W 30 / 100
Fiorentina W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parma W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Fiorentina W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Parma W scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parma W VS Fiorentina W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma W

(Home)
03 Oct
Parma W
1 : 2
Ternana W
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
19 Sept
Arezzo W
0 : 3
Parma W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
Page 1 of 6

Fiorentina W

(Away)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Inter W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Como 1907 W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Como W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
6 AC Milan W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
7 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
10 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
12 Sassuolo W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Relegation - Serie B Women 2027/2028 (Main)