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Parnahyba vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kessinho
11' Event
Silva A.
26' Event
Erick Alves

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Parnahyba and Aguia De Maraba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnahyba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Parnahyba
44%
Draws
20%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguia De Maraba come out ahead of Parnahyba on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 12%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnahyba Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs Parnahyba
2:0
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Parnahyba vs Aguia De Maraba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnahyba Compare

Top Goalscorer Kessinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erick Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnahyba 35 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnahyba Aguia De Maraba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnahyba scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aguia De Maraba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Parnahyba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnahyba VS Aguia De Maraba
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC-
Ferroviario-
America RN-
Gama-
Luverdense-
ABC-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
Iguatu-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Treze PB-
Uberlandia-
Portuguesa-
Sao Luiz-
CSA-
Cianorte-
ASA-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-