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Parnahyba vs Julho Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Leandro Sobral
67' Event
Mikeias
83' Event
Eddy Silva
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between Parnahyba and Julho Esporte finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnahyba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Parnahyba
39%
Draws
31%
Julho Esporte
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Julho Esporte haven't matched Parnahyba's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 68%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnahyba Julho Esporte
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Parnahyba
2:4
Jan 26, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Julho Esporte
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Julho Esporte
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Parnahyba
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Parnahyba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnahyba Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Sobral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikeias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Julho Esporte Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnahyba 41 / 100
Julho Esporte 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnahyba Julho Esporte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnahyba scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Julho Esporte conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Parnahyba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnahyba VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River-PI861117:619
2Oeirense861113:419
3AE Altos852112:717
4Parnahyba843110:415
5Fluminense-PI82249:108
6Julho Esporte82247:108
7Picos80267:182
8Corisabba80174:201