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Parnahyba vs Oeirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mendes M. D.
Own Goal
60' Event
Emilio
70'
Emerson

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2025 game between Parnahyba and Oeirense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnahyba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Parnahyba
20%
Draws
40%
Oeirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Parnahyba's 1.11 goals per match outpaces what Oeirense have produced (1.1).
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Oeirense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 16%
Oeirense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnahyba Oeirense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Oeirense
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Parnahyba
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Oeirense
2:1
Feb 8, 2024 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Oeirense
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Parnahyba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnahyba Compare

Top Goalscorer Emilio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Oeirense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnahyba 23 / 100
Oeirense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnahyba Oeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oeirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnahyba scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Oeirense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Parnahyba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnahyba VS Oeirense
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnahyba

(Home)
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Iguatu
2 : 2
Parnahyba
24 May
Parnahyba
0 : 1
Maracana
Page 1 of 7

Oeirense

(Away)
22 Feb
Oeirense
0 : 0
AE Altos
13 Feb
Piaui
2 : 1
Oeirense
08 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 2
Oeirense
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Fluminense-PI 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
3 Atletico-PI 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
4 River-PI 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piaui 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
2 Parnahyba 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Oeirense 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Julho Esporte 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)