Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2019

Rakvere

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Parnu-Jaagupi play Rakvere in the Esiliiga 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Parnu-Jaagupi averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Rakvere averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Parnu-Jaagupi won 2, Rakvere won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 23, 2019 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Parnu-Jaagupi and 1.00 for Rakvere. This points to a Rakvere double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Parnu-Jaagupi

40%

Draws

30%

Rakvere

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Parnu-Jaagupi picked up more points recently compared to Rakvere.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Parnu-Jaagupi Clean Sheet 23%

Rakvere Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Parnu-Jaagupi	Rakvere
Matches Played	4	30
Wins	2	7
Draws	0	2
Losses	2	21
Goals Scored	2.25	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.75	2.67
Expected Goals (xG)	3.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2019 Esiliiga

Rakvere vs Parnu-Jaagupi

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Nov 17, 2019 Esiliiga

Parnu-Jaagupi vs Rakvere

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu-Jaagupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Makovei K.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.69

Avg xA / game 1.75

Rakvere Compare

Top Goalscorer Vahula H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu-Jaagupi 32 / 100

Rakvere 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Parnu-Jaagupi Rakvere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rakvere or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Parnu-Jaagupi attacking → ← attacking Rakvere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu-Jaagupi scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Rakvere let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Parnu-Jaagupi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rakvere lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 23

3.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88