Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Logo

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

2 - 3
FT
Johvi Phoenix Logo

Johvi Phoenix

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Enok J.
40' Event
Kutsar K.
43' Event
Savenkov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Johvi Phoenix finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
49%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Johvi Phoenix come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Johvi Phoenix have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 3.33 2.45
Goals Conceded 2 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
2:3
Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4:2
May 25, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4:3
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutsar K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smirnov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Enok J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savenkov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 83 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Johvi Phoenix conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Johvi Phoenix
4.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)