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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
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Match Events

7' Event
Kutsar K.
10' Event
Kutsar K.
20' Event
Korre A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Legion finished 12-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
8%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 come out ahead of Legion on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Parnu JK Vaprus U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Legion
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 3.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 3.66
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion
12:0
Aug 30, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:5
Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Korre A.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Kutsar K.
4 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Legion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 85 / 100
Legion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Legion conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Legion
4.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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Legion

(Away)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)