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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Litmanen B.
36' Event
Korre A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Vahemets O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
39%
Draws
30%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev U21 haven't matched Parnu JK Vaprus U21's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.80000000000001%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 3.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vahemets O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Litmanen B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tallinna Kalev U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Tallinna Kalev U21
3.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777