Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2023/2024 Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu

Parnu JK Vaprus

6 - 1

FC Alliance

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Parnu JK Vaprus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Parnu JK Vaprus

Draws

FC Alliance

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Parnu JK Vaprus carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Parnu JK Vaprus taking it.
Parnu JK Vaprus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Parnu JK Vaprus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 19%

FC Alliance Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Parnu JK Vaprus	FC Alliance
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	4
Draws	3	2
Losses	15	24
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	1.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Estonian Cup

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Alliance

6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 85 / 100

FC Alliance 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Parnu JK Vaprus FC Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alliance has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Parnu JK Vaprus found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Parnu JK Vaprus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Home)

21 Jul

Tabasalu Ulasabat

1 : 4

Parnu JK Vaprus

18 Jul

Narva

3 : 1

Parnu JK Vaprus

11 Jul

Parnu JK Vaprus

5 : 1

Tammeka Tartu

04 Jul

Paide Linnameeskond

3 : 1

Parnu JK Vaprus

26 Jun

Parnu JK Vaprus

1 : 0

Kuressaare

Page 1 of 7

FC Alliance

(Away)

12 Nov

Flora Tallinn U21

6 : 0

FC Alliance

06 Nov

Levadia U21

2 : 2

FC Alliance

02 Nov

FC Alliance

2 : 0

Elva

29 Oct

FC Alliance

3 : 4

Legion

22 Oct

Nomme Utd

3 : 0

FC Alliance

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Tartu JK Welco 2-

TBD-

Tartu Kalev9

FC Sssolutions0

TBD-

Levadia-

Tallinna Kalev III0

Legion10

TBD-

Johvi Phoenix-

Tammeka Tartu-

TBD-

Imavere Forss-

Flora-

TBD-

Parnu JK Vaprus-

TBD-

FC Alliance-

Elva-

TBD-

Saue JK Laagri-

Tervis Parnu-

TBD-

FCP Parnu-

Maksatransport-

TBD-

Loo JK-

Raplamaa-

TBD-

Laanemaa Haapsalu-

Valga Warrior-

TBD-

JK Poseidon-

Arukula Vigri-

TBD-

Flora IV-

Maardu Aliens-

TBD-

FC Tallinn-

Kristiine2

Kohvile3

Viimsi JK4

Paide Linnameeskond III0

Narva-

TBD-

Pohja-Tallinna2

Rumori Calcio4

Zenit Tallinn3

Hiiumaa1

Tallinna Gorillad-

TBD-

Tabasalu-

TBD-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Helm-

TBD-

Parnu-

Saku Sporting-

TBD-

Tallinna Kalev U21-

Jogeva Wolves0

Kuressaare8

TBD-

Jarva-Jaani-

Sillamae Silmet-

TBD-

Kose-

Flora Tallinn U21-

TBD-

Keila JK11

JK Jalgpallihaigla0

Legion II-

TBD-

Soccernet-

Kalju-

TBD-

Tabasalu Ulasabat4

Flora U190

TransferWise1

Tallinna Wolves0

TBD-

Tulevik-

Rumori Calcio II-

TBD-

Olympic Tallinn-

Harju JK Laagri-

TBD-

Pelgu City-

Tallinna FC Zapoos-

TBD-

Vandra Vaprus-

Tartu JK Welco-

TBD-

Tallinna Kalev20

Vana Hea Puur0

Drakon0

Nomme Utd12

TBD-

Tallinn Piraaja-

Eston Villa-

TBD-

Marjamaa Kompanii-

1/32-finals

Tartu JK Welco 22

Tartu Kalev3

TBD-

Levadia-

Legion3

Johvi Phoenix0

Tammeka Tartu-

Imavere Forss-

Flora-

TBD-

Parnu JK Vaprus6

FC Alliance1

Elva1

Saue JK Laagri0

Tervis Parnu8

FCP Parnu3

Maksatransport5

Loo JK1

Raplamaa1

Laanemaa Haapsalu5

Valga Warrior1

JK Poseidon6

Arukula Vigri3

Flora IV2

Maardu Aliens-

FC Tallinn-

Kohvile0

Viimsi JK3

Narva-

TBD-

Rumori Calcio3

Zenit Tallinn8

Tallinna Gorillad0

Tabasalu16

TBD-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Helm2

Parnu0

Saku Sporting2

Tallinna Kalev U213

Kuressaare-

Jarva-Jaani-

Sillamae Silmet0

Kose4

Flora Tallinn U212

Keila JK0

Legion II3

Soccernet1

Kalju4

Tabasalu Ulasabat0

TransferWise0

Tulevik3

Rumori Calcio II0

Olympic Tallinn3

Harju JK Laagri12

Pelgu City0

Tallinna FC Zapoos6

Vandra Vaprus0

Tartu JK Welco0

Tallinna Kalev4

Nomme Utd4

Tallinn Piraaja0

Eston Villa3

Marjamaa Kompanii0

1/16-finals

Tartu Kalev2

Levadia6

Legion1

Tammeka Tartu3

Flora1

Parnu JK Vaprus0

Elva5

Tervis Parnu2

Maksatransport0

Laanemaa Haapsalu3

JK Poseidon2

Arukula Vigri3

FC Tallinn1

Viimsi JK2

Narva5

Zenit Tallinn0

Tabasalu1

Paide Linnameeskond3

Helm3

Tallinna Kalev U217

Kuressaare9

Kose1

Flora Tallinn U2113

Legion II0

Kalju5

Tulevik1

Olympic Tallinn0

Harju JK Laagri8

Tallinna FC Zapoos1

Tallinna Kalev4

Nomme Utd11

Eston Villa1

1/8-finals

Levadia4

Tammeka Tartu2

Flora10

Elva0

Laanemaa Haapsalu9

Arukula Vigri1

Viimsi JK1

Narva0

Paide Linnameeskond4

Tallinna Kalev U210

Kuressaare4

Flora Tallinn U212

Kalju3

Harju JK Laagri1

Tallinna Kalev3

Nomme Utd1

Quarter-finals

Levadia2

Flora1

Laanemaa Haapsalu0

Viimsi JK3

Paide Linnameeskond2

Kuressaare0

Kalju2

Tallinna Kalev1

Semi-finals

Levadia1

Viimsi JK0

Paide Linnameeskond3

Kalju1

Final

Levadia4

Paide Linnameeskond2