Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Poder J.
Assist: Aloe K.
28'
Poder J.
34' Event
Kreida V.

AI Match Summary

Flora in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Parnu JK Vaprus
20%
Draws
33%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora lately — more wins on the board than Parnu JK Vaprus.
  • Parnu JK Vaprus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Flora have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 17%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Flora
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Flora
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Flora
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Flora
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Poder J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kreida V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pihela O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 84 / 100
Flora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Flora has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Parnu JK Vaprus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS Flora
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Home)
12 Aug
Johvi Phoenix
0 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus
02 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Levadia
21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
11 Jul
Parnu JK Vaprus
5 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

Flora

(Away)
13 Aug
Flora
0 : 4
Inter Escaldes
06 Aug
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Flora
02 Aug
Flora
1 : 0
Harju JK Laagri
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1
Flora
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 21 15 5 1 55:17 50
2 Kalju 22 12 5 5 40:17 41
3 Flora 20 13 0 7 40:21 39
4 Paide Linnameeskond 21 10 5 6 33:28 35
5 Tammeka Tartu 20 9 2 9 23:31 29
6 Parnu JK Vaprus 21 8 3 10 29:39 27
7 Nomme Utd 23 8 1 14 40:54 25
8 Harju JK Laagri 22 8 1 13 32:38 25
9 Kuressaare 22 6 3 13 22:36 21
10 Narva 22 5 1 16 17:50 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)