Sport Picks
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kalju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Meistriliiga Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu 
AI Match Summary
Parnu JK Vaprus host Kalju in the Meistriliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kalju have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Parnu JK Vaprus have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.57. Head-to-head, Parnu JK Vaprus have won 3 to Kalju's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.75) back Kalju to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Kalju come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kalju's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Parnu JK Vaprus | Kalju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Parnu JK Vaprus found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Kalju conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Kalju's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Parnu JK Vaprus
(Home)Kalju
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Flora | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59:39 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 52:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 37:47 | 44 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 40:47 | 35 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 39:57 | 34 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 9 | Nomme Utd | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 47:68 | 28 |
| 10 | Narva | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22:65 | 19 |
