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Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Grigorevski R.
5'
Sub
Korre U. In: Mott R.
Out: Korre U.
10' Event
Tiismaa R.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2020 game between Parnu JK Vaprus and Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Parnu JK Vaprus
6%
Draws
4%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parnu JK Vaprus come out ahead of Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve on wins alone.
  • Parnu JK Vaprus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Parnu JK Vaprus have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 20%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 13 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2020 Esiliiga
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:0
Sep 17, 2020 Esiliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
1:0
Jul 11, 2020 Esiliiga
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:5
Jun 13, 2020 Esiliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
7:0
Sep 22, 2019 Esiliiga
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve vs Parnu JK Vaprus
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiismaa R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Veensalu E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 85 / 100
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Parnu JK Vaprus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Home)
21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
11 Jul
Parnu JK Vaprus
5 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
26 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 7

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve

(Away)
13 Feb
Legion II
1 : 2
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
20 Nov
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
0 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Narva
3 : 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
08 Nov
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
0 : 6
Parnu
01 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parnu JK Vaprus32198572:3065
2Maardu Linnameeskond32204868:4564
3Nomme Utd32167976:4355
4Flora Tallinn U21321561164:4651
5Elva321471154:5249
6Tammeka Tartu U21321231747:6839
7Levadia U21301251342:4141
8Parnu301171261:5640
9Vandra Vaprus301021847:7232
10Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve30132613:913
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2020 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2020 (Relegation)