Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Merkuur Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merkuur Tartu in this Meistriliiga 2006 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merkuur Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Parnu JK Vaprus
22%
Draws
18%
Merkuur Tartu
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parnu JK Vaprus lately — more wins on the board than Merkuur Tartu.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Parnu JK Vaprus taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga 2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Merkuur Tartu here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 19%
Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Merkuur Tartu
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2006 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
4:3
Aug 26, 2006 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Merkuur Tartu
1:4
Jun 20, 2006 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:3
Mar 21, 2006 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Merkuur Tartu
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 58 / 100
Merkuur Tartu 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Merkuur Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merkuur Tartu let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Merkuur Tartu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia363042114:2994
2Narva362583106:3683
3Flora36264693:3482
4TVMK Tallinn36226883:3772
5Merkuur Tartu361391465:6848
6Tammeka Tartu361271745:5743
7Parnu JK Vaprus361042249:8634
8Lasnamae36672335:10425
9Tulevik36552629:7420
10Valga Warrior36323116:11011