Sport Picks

Bhutan

Premier League 2015

Thimphu FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paro United play Thimphu FC in the Premier League 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paro United averaged 1.73 goals scored and 4.42 conceded. Thimphu FC averaged 2 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Paro United won 3, Thimphu FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 23, 2018 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Paro United and 1.69 for Thimphu FC. This points to a Thimphu FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Paro United

15%

Draws

45%

Thimphu FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Paro United picked up more points recently compared to Thimphu FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Paro United Clean Sheet 13%

Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paro United	Thimphu FC
Matches Played	40	35
Wins	11	15
Draws	3	3
Losses	26	17
Goals Scored	1.73	2
Goals Conceded	4.42	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2018 Premier League

Thimphu FC vs Paro United

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

2:5

Sep 30, 2018 Premier League

Paro United vs Thimphu FC

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Aug 12, 2017 Premier League

Thimphu FC vs Paro United

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

4:3

Jul 16, 2017 Premier League

Paro United vs Thimphu FC

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Jul 19, 2016 Premier League

Thimphu FC vs Paro United

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro United 39 / 100

Thimphu FC 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paro United Thimphu FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thimphu FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paro United attacking → ← attacking Thimphu FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro United scored in 78% of their last 40 games.

Thimphu FC let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Paro United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Thimphu FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 48

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13