Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paro vs Abdysh-Ata Kant - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bilyi A.
Assist: Manji W.
17' Event
Taalaybek uulu B.
Assist: Bilyi A.
33' Event
Asante E.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Paro and Abdysh-Ata Kant finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Paro
15%
Draws
5%
Abdysh-Ata Kant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paro come out ahead of Abdysh-Ata Kant on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Paro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Paro Clean Sheet 20%
Abdysh-Ata Kant Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro Abdysh-Ata Kant
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 26 3
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 3.85 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Paro vs Abdysh-Ata Kant
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ichimura R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Asante E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Abdysh-Ata Kant Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilyi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taalaybek uulu B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro 85 / 100
Abdysh-Ata Kant 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro Abdysh-Ata Kant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Paro remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Abdysh-Ata Kant let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paro VS Abdysh-Ata Kant
4.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paro

(Home)
08 Oct
Thimphu City
0 : 2
Paro
03 Oct
Paro
6 : 0
BFF Academy U19
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
Page 1 of 7

Abdysh-Ata Kant

(Away)
03 Sept
Abdysh-Ata Kant
0 : 5
Ozgon
30 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
4 : 0
Abdysh-Ata Kant
25 Aug
Abdysh-Ata Kant
0 : 3
Talant
19 Aug
Aldier
1 : 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant
14 Aug
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
4 : 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Altyn Asyr 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Abdysh-Ata Kant 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
4 Paro 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Al Ansar 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Al Seeb 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bashundara Kings 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muras United 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Safa 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Regar-TadAZ 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Manila Digger 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Falcons 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Ezra 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Phnom Penh Crown 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Taiwan Steel 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Shan United 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)