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Paro vs Ugyen Academy Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Jawara S.
26' Event
Mishima Y.
33' Event
Baldeh A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Paro and Ugyen Academy finished 11-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Paro
15%
Draws
14%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paro come out ahead of Ugyen Academy on wins alone.
  • Paro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paro here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Paro Clean Sheet 68%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 26 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 3.88 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro
0:10
Jun 23, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Ugyen Academy
11:0
Aug 2, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Ugyen Academy
3:2
Jun 28, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro
0:3
Nov 13, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Mishima Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sagna R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Ugyen Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro 95 / 100
Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro Ugyen Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Ugyen Academy has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Paro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paro VS Ugyen Academy
4.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paro

(Home)
03 Oct
Paro
6 : 0
BFF Academy U19
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
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Ugyen Academy

(Away)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 72:12 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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