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Parramatta Eagles vs Blacktown City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Cairncross Z.
45' Event
Mallia M.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Anyimba V.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW 2017 game between Parramatta Eagles and Blacktown City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacktown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Parramatta Eagles
20%
Draws
40%
Blacktown City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Blacktown City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Parramatta Eagles taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parramatta Eagles Clean Sheet 15%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parramatta Eagles Blacktown City
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2017 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Blacktown City
1:3
Apr 15, 2017 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Parramatta Eagles
2:2
Jun 19, 2016 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Parramatta Eagles
0:1
Apr 2, 2016 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Blacktown City
0:3
Jun 14, 2015 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Blacktown City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parramatta Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Anyimba V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cairncross Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parramatta Eagles 35 / 100
Blacktown City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parramatta Eagles Blacktown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacktown City has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Blacktown City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Parramatta Eagles scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parramatta Eagles VS Blacktown City
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parramatta Eagles

(Home)
11 Sept
Prospect United
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
04 Sept
Parramatta Eagles
4 : 1
Prospect United
14 Feb
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
13 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
05 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
Page 1 of 6

Blacktown City

(Away)
30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0
Blacktown City
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 22 16 1 5 50:18 49
2 Blacktown City 22 14 5 3 45:22 47
3 Manly Utd 22 13 3 6 47:36 42
4 Rockdale Ilinden 22 12 6 4 42:28 42
5 Sydney Olympic 22 12 4 6 35:23 40
6 Wollongong 22 12 1 9 35:28 37
7 Sydney Utd 22 10 4 8 42:27 34
8 Hakoah Sydney 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 22 5 4 13 31:50 19
10 Sutherland Sharks 22 5 1 16 29:55 16
11 Sydney FC U21 22 6 2 14 34:52 14
12 Parramatta Eagles 22 1 3 18 16:60 6
Promotion - Northern NSW 2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)