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Pars Janoobi Jam vs Naft Gachsaran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pars Janoobi Jam host Naft Gachsaran in the Azadegan League. This one's hard to separate. Naft Gachsaran have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Pars Janoobi Jam have conceded 0.68 and scored 1.42. Past meetings favor Pars Janoobi Jam slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 0.50) point toward Pars Janoobi Jam. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pars Janoobi Jam
35%
Draws
14%
Naft Gachsaran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pars Janoobi Jam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pars Janoobi Jam lately — more wins on the board than Naft Gachsaran.
  • Pars Janoobi Jam are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pars Janoobi Jam Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pars Janoobi Jam Naft Gachsaran
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 14 9
Draws 13 13
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.42 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Janoobi Jam
0:1
Mar 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Janoobi Jam
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Naft Gachsaran
1:0
May 8, 2024 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Naft Gachsaran
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pars Janoobi Jam 76 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pars Janoobi Jam Naft Gachsaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pars Janoobi Jam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Pars Janoobi Jam stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pars Janoobi Jam scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Naft Gachsaran has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pars Janoobi Jam VS Naft Gachsaran
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pars Janoobi Jam

(Home)
05 Oct
Havadar SC
0 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
28 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
3 : 2
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
1 : 2
Pars Janoobi Jam
Page 1 of 7

Naft Gachsaran

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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