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Partick vs Stenhousemuir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Firhill Stadium, Glasgow
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Partick host Stenhousemuir in the Championship. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Partick have averaged 1.52 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Stenhousemuir's 1.45 scored and 0.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Partick have won 3 to Stenhousemuir's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.69 - 0.94) back Stenhousemuir to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Partick
15%
Draws
40%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Partick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Partick on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Partick taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Partick Clean Sheet 20%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partick Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 20
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Championship
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:0
Jul 21, 2026 League Cup
Partick vs Stenhousemuir
2:3
Jul 9, 2022 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:2
Jul 17, 2021 League Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:2
Nov 16, 2019 Challenge Cup
Stenhousemuir vs Partick
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partick 67 / 100
Stenhousemuir 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partick Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Partick scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Partick has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stenhousemuir has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Partick VS Stenhousemuir
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Partick

(Home)
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
03 Oct
Partick
3 : 0
Arbroath
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
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Stenhousemuir

(Away)
10 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0
Stenhousemuir
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 9 7 1 1 12:4 22
2 Raith 10 6 2 2 15:6 20
3 Partick 9 5 3 1 10:3 18
4 Livingston 10 4 1 5 14:11 13
5 Dunfermline 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
6 Inverness 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
7 Ayr 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
8 Arbroath 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
9 Queen's Park 10 2 1 7 6:16 7
10 Morton 10 1 1 8 7:18 4
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)