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Partizan vs Novi Pazar Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Miletic N.
17'
Mitrovic S.
23' Event
Dragojevic V.
Assist: Ugresic O.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 game between Partizan and Novi Pazar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Partizan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Partizan
35%
Draws
39%
Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Partizan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Partizan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Partizan Clean Sheet 19%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partizan Novi Pazar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Novi Pazar
2:1
Apr 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Partizan
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Novi Pazar
2:0
May 4, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Partizan
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Novi Pazar
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partizan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dragojevic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ugresic O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadzimujovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizan 36 / 100
Novi Pazar 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partizan Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novi Pazar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizan's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Novi Pazar has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Partizan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Partizan VS Novi Pazar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Partizan

(Home)
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4
Partizan
13 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Vojvodina
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1
Partizan
31 Aug
Partizan
3 : 1
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
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Novi Pazar

(Away)
19 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 2
Zemun
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1
Novi Pazar
04 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 0
Zeleznicar Pancevo
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0
Novi Pazar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 37 27 5 5 100:31 86
2 Vojvodina 37 23 7 7 66:35 76
3 Partizan 37 22 7 8 72:45 73
4 Zeleznicar Pancevo 37 16 11 10 50:37 59
5 Novi Pazar 37 14 10 13 46:54 52
6 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 37 12 13 12 49:47 49
7 Radnik Surdulica 37 11 13 13 44:48 46
8 Cukaricki 37 10 15 12 47:50 45
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)