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Partizan vs Radnik Surdulica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Partizan Logo

Partizan

5 - 0
FT
Radnik Surdulica Logo

Radnik Surdulica

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Natcho B.
40'
Tremoulet S.
44' Event
Tremoulet S.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Partizan in this Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Partizan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Partizan
35%
Draws
39%
Radnik Surdulica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Radnik Surdulica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Partizan lately — more wins on the board than Radnik Surdulica.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Partizan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Partizan Clean Sheet 15%
Radnik Surdulica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partizan Radnik Surdulica
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 14
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.82 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Partizan
4:4
May 23, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Radnik Surdulica
5:0
Feb 7, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Partizan
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Radnik Surdulica
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Radnik Surdulica vs Partizan
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partizan Compare

Top Goalscorer Trifunovic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Natcho B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Radnik Surdulica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizan 30 / 100
Radnik Surdulica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partizan Radnik Surdulica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partizan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizan's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Radnik Surdulica let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Partizan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Partizan VS Radnik Surdulica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Partizan

(Home)
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4
Partizan
13 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Vojvodina
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1
Partizan
31 Aug
Partizan
3 : 1
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
Page 1 of 6

Radnik Surdulica

(Away)
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4
Partizan
14 Sept
Zemun
1 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0
Crvena zvezda
05 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
3 : 1
Cukaricki
29 Aug
Zeleznicar Pancevo
5 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 37 27 5 5 100:31 86
2 Vojvodina 37 23 7 7 66:35 76
3 Partizan 37 22 7 8 72:45 73
4 Zeleznicar Pancevo 37 16 11 10 50:37 59
5 Novi Pazar 37 14 10 13 46:54 52
6 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 37 12 13 12 49:47 49
7 Radnik Surdulica 37 11 13 13 44:48 46
8 Cukaricki 37 10 15 12 47:50 45
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)