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Stadium Background

Partizani vs AF Elbasani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2025/2026 Arena e Demave, Tirana
Wed, Mar 4, 2026
1 - 3
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lajthia X.
28'
Lajthia X.
39'
Nongoh S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with AF Elbasani advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Partizani
30%
Draws
35%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Partizani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Partizani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AF Elbasani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Partizani Clean Sheet 19%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partizani AF Elbasani
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly
AF Elbasani vs Partizani
1:3
Apr 13, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Partizani
3:0
Mar 4, 2026 Albanian Cup
Partizani vs AF Elbasani
1:3
Feb 11, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs Partizani
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Partizani vs AF Elbasani
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partizani Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Lajthia X.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizani 32 / 100
AF Elbasani 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partizani AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizani found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: AF Elbasani conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Partizani stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Partizani VS AF Elbasani
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Partizani

(Home)
02 Oct
Partizani
2 : 1
Drenica
20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Partizani
12 Sept
Partizani
2 : 4
Dinamo City
05 Sept
Vllaznia
2 : 3
Partizani
29 Aug
Partizani
1 : 2
Laci
Page 1 of 6

AF Elbasani

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2