Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Partizani vs AF Elbasani

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup Arena e Demave, Tirana
Wed, Mar 4, 2026
1 - 3
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lajthia X.
28'
Lajthia X.
39'
Nongoh S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Partizani
15%
Draws
31%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Partizani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Partizani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Partizani are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Partizani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AF Elbasani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Partizani Clean Sheet 68%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partizani AF Elbasani
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly
AF Elbasani vs Partizani
1:3
Apr 13, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Partizani
3:0
Mar 4, 2026 Albanian Cup
Partizani vs AF Elbasani
1:3
Feb 11, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs Partizani
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Partizani vs AF Elbasani
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partizani Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Lajthia X.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizani 95 / 100
AF Elbasani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partizani AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partizani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizani found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: AF Elbasani conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Partizani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Partizani VS AF Elbasani
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Partizani

(Home)
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3
Partizani
31 Jul
Pogradeci
0 : 2
Partizani
26 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 2
Partizani
18 Jul
Besa Kavaje
2 : 1
Partizani
22 May
Vora
1 : 3
Partizani
Page 1 of 6

AF Elbasani

(Away)
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3
Partizani
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
Petrovac
31 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2
AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2