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Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Barkchi Hisor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov host Barkchi Hisor in the Vysshaya Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov at 0.82 goals for, 2.39 against; Barkchi Hisor at 1.29 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Barkchi Hisor slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.06) point toward Barkchi Hisor. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
20%
Draws
58%
Barkchi Hisor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barkchi Hisor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Barkchi Hisor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barkchi Hisor are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barkchi Hisor have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Clean Sheet 10%
Barkchi Hisor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Barkchi Hisor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.82 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2:0
Nov 2, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
3:0
May 14, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Barkchi Hisor
1:2
Oct 23, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Barkchi Hisor
1:2
May 2, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 10 / 100
Barkchi Hisor 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Barkchi Hisor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barkchi Hisor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barkchi Hisor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov VS Barkchi Hisor
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

(Home)
09 Oct
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 1
Khujand
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
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Barkchi Hisor

(Away)
10 Oct
Regar-TadAZ
2 : 0
Barkchi Hisor
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 18 10 5 3 35:18 35
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 18 6 5 7 24:20 23
8 Eskhata 18 5 5 8 23:33 20
9 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 17 2 6 9 24:32 12
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)