Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Regar-TadAZ

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov and Regar-TadAZ finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regar-TadAZ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
15%
Draws
65%
Regar-TadAZ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Regar-TadAZ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Regar-TadAZ taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Clean Sheet 20%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Regar-TadAZ
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Regar-TadAZ
0:1
Oct 23, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
3:2
Apr 17, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0
Jan 17, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 10 / 100
Regar-TadAZ 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Regar-TadAZ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Regar-TadAZ conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov VS Regar-TadAZ
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

(Home)
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
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Regar-TadAZ

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)