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PAS Mates vs Chebel Citizens

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rita L.
17' Event
Rasdirising B.
53' Event
Andriharimanana L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between PAS Mates and Chebel Citizens finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chebel Citizens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
PAS Mates
35%
Draws
55%
Chebel Citizens
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chebel Citizens come out ahead of PAS Mates on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chebel Citizens's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PAS Mates Clean Sheet 10%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAS Mates Chebel Citizens
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs PAS Mates
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Chebel Citizens
1:5
May 30, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Chebel Citizens
2:4
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs PAS Mates
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAS Mates Compare

Top Goalscorer Rita L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nomenjanahary E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Chebel Citizens Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasdirising B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andriharimanana L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAS Mates 10 / 100
Chebel Citizens 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAS Mates Chebel Citizens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Chebel Citizens let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

PAS Mates found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

PAS Mates went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAS Mates VS Chebel Citizens
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PAS Mates

(Home)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
19 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 1
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 6

Chebel Citizens

(Away)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cercle De Joachim 18 14 4 0 35:6 46
2 La Cure Waves 18 12 2 4 40:18 38
3 Pamplemousses 18 9 3 6 25:18 30
4 Petite Riviere 18 7 5 6 21:19 26
5 Chebel Citizens 18 7 4 7 26:26 25
6 AS Vacoas 18 6 4 8 22:30 22
7 Port Louis 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 PAS Mates 18 5 4 9 18:24 19
9 Entente Boulet 18 4 4 10 22:34 16
10 Grande Riviere 18 1 5 12 20:50 8
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)