Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Pasaia host Beasain in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Pasaia have averaged 0.94 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Beasain's 1.35 scored and 1.35 conceded. Past meetings favor Beasain slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.63, favoring Beasain. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Beasain come out ahead of Pasaia on wins alone.
- Model gives Pasaia a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pasaia | Beasain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beasain let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Pasaia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Beasain lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pasaia
(Home)Beasain
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad C | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 5 | UD Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Pasaia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Touring KE | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 14 | SD Erandio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:13 | 1 |
