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Passo Fundo vs EC Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Luiz Fernando
85' Event
Leo Ferraz
90' Event
Patrikao

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Passo Fundo and EC Guarani finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Passo Fundo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Passo Fundo
30%
Draws
27%
EC Guarani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Passo Fundo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Passo Fundo haven't matched EC Guarani's recent run of results.
  • Passo Fundo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Passo Fundo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 68%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Passo Fundo EC Guarani
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.45 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs EC Guarani
2:1
Apr 3, 2011 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Passo Fundo
3:1
Mar 10, 2011 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs EC Guarani
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Passo Fundo Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ferraz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patrikao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

EC Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Fernando
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Passo Fundo 86 / 100
EC Guarani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Passo Fundo EC Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passo Fundo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Passo Fundo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Passo Fundo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

EC Guarani let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Passo Fundo VS EC Guarani
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Passo Fundo

(Home)
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

EC Guarani

(Away)
27 Sept
EC Guarani
3 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)