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Passo Fundo vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Joao Victor
31' Event
Joao Victor
64' Event
Otavio

AI Match Summary

Passo Fundo in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Passo Fundo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Passo Fundo
30%
Draws
27%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Passo Fundo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Passo Fundo have won more games recently than Esportivo Bento Goncalves.
  • Passo Fundo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Passo Fundo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 68%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Passo Fundo Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2:1
Jun 30, 2025 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2:1
Jun 23, 2024 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Passo Fundo
1:3
Jun 2, 2024 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2:1
May 21, 2022 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Passo Fundo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Passo Fundo Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Otavio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Passo Fundo 95 / 100
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Passo Fundo Esportivo Bento Goncalves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passo Fundo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Passo Fundo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Passo Fundo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Esportivo Bento Goncalves conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Passo Fundo VS Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Passo Fundo

(Home)
10 Oct
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
Page 1 of 6

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Away)
10 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)