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Passo Fundo vs Santa Cruz RS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Patrikao
90' Event
Leo Ferraz

AI Match Summary

Passo Fundo in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Passo Fundo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Passo Fundo
30%
Draws
19%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Passo Fundo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Passo Fundo lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz RS.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Passo Fundo taking it.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Passo Fundo Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Passo Fundo Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 15
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Santa Cruz RS
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Passo Fundo
2:2
Jul 30, 2023 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Passo Fundo
2:0
Jul 23, 2023 Gaucho 2
Passo Fundo vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Feb 6, 2013 Gaucho
Passo Fundo vs Santa Cruz RS
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Passo Fundo Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrikao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Ferraz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Passo Fundo 95 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Passo Fundo Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Passo Fundo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Passo Fundo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Passo Fundo scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz RS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Passo Fundo VS Santa Cruz RS
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Passo Fundo

(Home)
10 Oct
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
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Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
10 Oct
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 1
Apafut
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)