Sport Picks

Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025

Pastoreo

2 - 1

Guarani de Fram

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Adorno M.

45'

Vera R.

65'

Candia P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Pastoreo and Guarani de Fram finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pastoreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Pastoreo

Draws

Guarani de Fram

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pastoreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Pastoreo come out ahead of Guarani de Fram on wins alone.
Pastoreo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Pastoreo Clean Sheet 68%

Guarani de Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pastoreo	Guarani de Fram
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	5
Draws	11	10
Losses	9	15
Goals Scored	1.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Division Intermedia

Pastoreo vs Guarani de Fram

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Apr 21, 2025 Division Intermedia

Guarani de Fram vs Pastoreo

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pastoreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Adorno M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Candia P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Guarani de Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Viveros F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pastoreo 95 / 100

Guarani de Fram 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pastoreo Guarani de Fram

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarani de Fram conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Pastoreo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pastoreo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pastoreo VS Guarani de Fram

1.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rubio Nu	30	17	9	4	46:21	60
2	San Lorenzo	30	15	8	7	38:22	53
3	Deportivo Capiata	30	14	10	6	37:21	52
4	12 de Junio	30	12	12	6	36:26	48
5	Pastoreo	30	10	11	9	34:31	41
6	Resistencia	30	9	13	8	46:50	40
7	Guairena FC	30	11	6	13	41:38	39
8	Sol de America	30	9	11	10	34:35	38
9	Tacuary	30	10	8	12	28:36	38
10	Club River Plate	30	8	13	9	35:39	37
11	Deportivo Santani	30	8	11	11	33:35	35
12	Encarnacion FC	30	8	11	11	33:42	35
13	Sportivo Carapegua	30	7	13	10	39:46	34
14	Independiente FBC	30	9	7	14	32:40	34
15	Fernando de la Mora	30	6	10	14	24:40	28
16	Guarani de Fram	30	5	11	14	35:49	26