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Pastoreo vs Guarani de Fram

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Adorno M.
45'
Vera R.
65' Event
Candia P.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Pastoreo and Guarani de Fram finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pastoreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Pastoreo
20%
Draws
17%
Guarani de Fram
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pastoreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pastoreo come out ahead of Guarani de Fram on wins alone.
  • Pastoreo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Pastoreo Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pastoreo Guarani de Fram
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Guarani de Fram
2:1
Apr 21, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guarani de Fram vs Pastoreo
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pastoreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Adorno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Candia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Guarani de Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Viveros F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pastoreo 95 / 100
Guarani de Fram 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pastoreo Guarani de Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pastoreo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarani de Fram conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Pastoreo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pastoreo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pastoreo VS Guarani de Fram
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pastoreo

(Home)
04 Oct
Deportivo Santani
0 : 0
Pastoreo
27 Sept
Pastoreo
0 : 0
Tacuary
21 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 5
Pastoreo
14 Sept
Pastoreo
1 : 0
Guairena FC
06 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2
Pastoreo
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Guarani de Fram

(Away)
04 Oct
Guairena FC
3 : 1
Guarani de Fram
26 Sept
Guarani de Fram
1 : 0
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Independiente FBC
2 : 0
Guarani de Fram
15 Sept
Guarani de Fram
0 : 2
Sol de America
06 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Guarani de Fram
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rubio Nu 30 17 9 4 46:21 60
2 San Lorenzo 30 15 8 7 38:22 53
3 Deportivo Capiata 30 14 10 6 37:21 52
4 12 de Junio 30 12 12 6 36:26 48
5 Pastoreo 30 10 11 9 34:31 41
6 Resistencia 30 9 13 8 46:50 40
7 Guairena FC 30 11 6 13 41:38 39
8 Sol de America 30 9 11 10 34:35 38
9 Tacuary 30 10 8 12 28:36 38
10 Club River Plate 30 8 13 9 35:39 37
11 Deportivo Santani 30 8 11 11 33:35 35
12 Encarnacion FC 30 8 11 11 33:42 35
13 Sportivo Carapegua 30 7 13 10 39:46 34
14 Independiente FBC 30 9 7 14 32:40 34
15 Fernando de la Mora 30 6 10 14 24:40 28
16 Guarani de Fram 30 5 11 14 35:49 26
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)