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Pastoreo vs Resistencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Vera Encina R. F.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Solis R.
22' Event
Rojas A.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Pastoreo and Resistencia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pastoreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Pastoreo
20%
Draws
17%
Resistencia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pastoreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pastoreo come out ahead of Resistencia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pastoreo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pastoreo Clean Sheet 68%
Resistencia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pastoreo Resistencia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Pastoreo
1:5
Jun 15, 2025 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Resistencia
3:1
Jul 12, 2024 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Resistencia
0:1
Apr 8, 2024 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Pastoreo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pastoreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Solis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Resistencia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pastoreo 95 / 100
Resistencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pastoreo Resistencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pastoreo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Pastoreo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pastoreo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Resistencia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Resistencia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pastoreo

(Home)
04 Oct
Deportivo Santani
0 : 0
Pastoreo
27 Sept
Pastoreo
0 : 0
Tacuary
21 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 5
Pastoreo
14 Sept
Pastoreo
1 : 0
Guairena FC
06 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2
Pastoreo
Page 1 of 6

Resistencia

(Away)
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3
Resistencia
27 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
Deportivo Santani
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
08 Sept
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1
Resistencia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rubio Nu 30 17 9 4 46:21 60
2 San Lorenzo 30 15 8 7 38:22 53
3 Deportivo Capiata 30 14 10 6 37:21 52
4 12 de Junio 30 12 12 6 36:26 48
5 Pastoreo 30 10 11 9 34:31 41
6 Resistencia 30 9 13 8 46:50 40
7 Guairena FC 30 11 6 13 41:38 39
8 Sol de America 30 9 11 10 34:35 38
9 Tacuary 30 10 8 12 28:36 38
10 Club River Plate 30 8 13 9 35:39 37
11 Deportivo Santani 30 8 11 11 33:35 35
12 Encarnacion FC 30 8 11 11 33:42 35
13 Sportivo Carapegua 30 7 13 10 39:46 34
14 Independiente FBC 30 9 7 14 32:40 34
15 Fernando de la Mora 30 6 10 14 24:40 28
16 Guarani de Fram 30 5 11 14 35:49 26
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)