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Pastoreo vs Rubio Nu

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Heinze J.
27'
Mencia D.
52' Event
Villagra C.

AI Match Summary

Rubio Nu in this Division Intermedia 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rubio Nu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Pastoreo
20%
Draws
28%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pastoreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rubio Nu lately — more wins on the board than Pastoreo.
  • Pastoreo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rubio Nu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pastoreo Clean Sheet 68%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pastoreo Rubio Nu
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Rubio Nu
1:4
Apr 6, 2025 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Pastoreo
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Pastoreo
2:1
Jul 6, 2024 Division Intermedia
Pastoreo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Sep 18, 2023 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Pastoreo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pastoreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Heinze J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Villagra C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leguizamon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pastoreo 95 / 100
Rubio Nu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pastoreo Rubio Nu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pastoreo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pastoreo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pastoreo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Rubio Nu has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rubio Nu
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pastoreo

(Home)
04 Oct
Deportivo Santani
0 : 0
Pastoreo
27 Sept
Pastoreo
0 : 0
Tacuary
21 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 5
Pastoreo
14 Sept
Pastoreo
1 : 0
Guairena FC
06 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2
Pastoreo
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Rubio Nu

(Away)
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2
Rubio Nu
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
25 Aug
General Caballero JLM
2 : 3
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rubio Nu 30 17 9 4 46:21 60
2 San Lorenzo 30 15 8 7 38:22 53
3 Deportivo Capiata 30 14 10 6 37:21 52
4 12 de Junio 30 12 12 6 36:26 48
5 Pastoreo 30 10 11 9 34:31 41
6 Resistencia 30 9 13 8 46:50 40
7 Guairena FC 30 11 6 13 41:38 39
8 Sol de America 30 9 11 10 34:35 38
9 Tacuary 30 10 8 12 28:36 38
10 Club River Plate 30 8 13 9 35:39 37
11 Deportivo Santani 30 8 11 11 33:35 35
12 Encarnacion FC 30 8 11 11 33:42 35
13 Sportivo Carapegua 30 7 13 10 39:46 34
14 Independiente FBC 30 9 7 14 32:40 34
15 Fernando de la Mora 30 6 10 14 24:40 28
16 Guarani de Fram 30 5 11 14 35:49 26
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)