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Patacona vs Utiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Marti J.
43' Event
Junquero D.
55' Event
Sabater Olivas A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 game between Patacona and Utiel finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Patacona
35%
Draws
39%
Utiel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Utiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Patacona haven't matched Utiel's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Patacona Clean Sheet 22%
Utiel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patacona Utiel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 4
Draws 12 13
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Utiel
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Patacona
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Utiel
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Patacona
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patacona Compare

Top Goalscorer Marti J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Junquero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabater Olivas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patacona 32 / 100
Utiel 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patacona Utiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Utiel conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Patacona's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Patacona has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Utiel
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Patacona

(Home)
11 May
Patacona
0 : 2
Roda
04 May
Villarreal C
1 : 1
Patacona
26 Apr
Patacona
0 : 2
Atzeneta
17 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
3 : 2
Patacona
13 Apr
Patacona
0 : 0
Castellonense
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Utiel

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)