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Paterno vs Rende

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rizzo A.
43' Event
Riconosciuto M.
69' Event
Furina V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Paterno and Rende finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Paterno
20%
Draws
70%
Rende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rende come out ahead of Paterno on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rende's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Paterno Clean Sheet 14%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paterno Rende
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.68 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Rende
1:3
Sep 26, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Paterno
3:4
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Paterno
0:0
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Rende
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paterno Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizzo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Rende Compare

Top Goalscorer Furina V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Riconosciuto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paterno 10 / 100
Rende 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paterno Rende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Rende let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Paterno scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Paterno stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paterno VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paterno

(Home)
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3
Castrumfavara
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0
Paterno
12 Apr
Paterno
0 : 0
Milazzo
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1
Paterno
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Rende

(Away)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)