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Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pathum United and Buriram United F.C. finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buriram United F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Pathum United
35%
Draws
39%
Buriram United F.C.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 10%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pathum United Buriram United F.C.
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 21
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.56 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
0:3
Apr 8, 2026 League Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pathum United 30 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pathum United Buriram United F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pathum United scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Buriram United F.C. let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Pathum United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pathum United VS Buriram United F.C.
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
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Buriram United F.C.

(Away)
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2
Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0
Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
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