Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Chiangrai Utd Prediction & H2H Stats
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
32'
32'
Sareepim S.
45'
45'
bin Fandi Ahmad I.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Promsawat M. In: Phanitchakun P.
Out: Promsawat M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chiangrai Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Pathum United have won more games recently than Chiangrai Utd.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Chiangrai Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chiangrai Utd
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Pathum United
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Pathum United
1:0
Aug 28, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chiangrai Utd
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Pathum United
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Dolah E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41
Chiangrai Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 32 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Chiangrai Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chiangrai Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pathum United scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Chiangrai Utd conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Pathum United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Chiangrai Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 0.29
63% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3 Aston Villa
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 4
Chiangrai Utd
(Away) 19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1 Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
05 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
13 Mar
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
01 Mar
Kanchanaburi
0 : 4 Chiangrai Utd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
