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Pathum United vs Lee Man Warriors Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gigauri M.
38' Event
Joao Magno
55' Event
Yanagi T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pathum United
30%
Draws
50%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lee Man Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Pathum United.
  • Model gives Lee Man Warriors a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 11%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pathum United Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.57 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Pathum United vs Lee Man Warriors
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pathum United Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Magno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yanagi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigauri M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willian Gaucho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pathum United 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pathum United Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pathum United scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lee Man Warriors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Pathum United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pathum United VS Lee Man Warriors
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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